Dubrava Zagreb 4-0 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.95/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
01.12.2023 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
16.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
4-0
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb swept aside Bijelo Brdo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Dubrava Zagreb made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 50% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 50%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo?

Dubrava Zagreb 4-0 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 37%, draw 32%, Bijelo Brdo 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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