Millwall U21 1-2 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 17 May 2024

Millwall U21
1-2 HT 1-1
Birmingham City U21
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Millwall U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.7pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall U21 v Birmingham City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.21/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.64
+73% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Millwall U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 nicked a narrow win over Millwall U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall U21 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Millwall U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Millwall U21 1-2 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Millwall U21 53%, draw 20%, Birmingham City U21 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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