Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul shaded a tight game against Monterrey 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, Monterrey had 59% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 41%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.66 to 0.60.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monterrey and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
Monterrey 0 - 1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 45%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS Yes went the other way.