Atletico Grau 4-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
1.57/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
+7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
28.2 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.25 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
294 Passes 186
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
29.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
10.10.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
4-0
AWAY Cusco FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
243 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau swept aside Cusco FC 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 41% of the ball to Cusco FC's 59%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Grau and 0.33 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC?

Atletico Grau 4-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 52%, draw 25%, Cusco FC 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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