1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.40/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-0 HT 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2
25.02.2024 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S2-B
14.10.2023 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-3 HT 0-1 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
2-1
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH 1461 Trabzon FK vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1461 Trabzon FK edged past Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had 1461 Trabzon FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1461 Trabzon FK had 51% of the ball to Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 0.33 for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu.

What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu in the Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 47%, draw 29%, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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