Police Tero 3-0 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

Police Tero
3-0 HT 1-0
Bangkok United
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Police Tero vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
12%
+12.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-16.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police Tero v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police Tero EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 75%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.10/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.85
+37% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
15.5 Crosses 21.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Police Tero vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police Tero
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.90 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
231 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
09.04.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 1-4 HT 0-2 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
09.11.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 5-0 HT 2-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY

Police Tero 3-0 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police Tero
3-0
AWAY Bangkok United
0.68 xG 1.34
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 13
208 Passes 540
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Police Tero vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police Tero cruised past Bangkok United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Police Tero had 32% of the ball to Bangkok United's 68%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.68 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bangkok United.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Police Tero and 3.00 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Police Tero vs Bangkok United?

Police Tero 3-0 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police Tero vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Police Tero 25%, draw 22%, Bangkok United 54%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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