EGS Gafsa 1-6 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-11.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 50%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+150% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -75%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-3 HT 1-3 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
16.09.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-2 HT 0-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
07.04.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN2
15.03.2020 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 3-1 HT 3-1 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien ran out comfortable winners over EGS Gafsa 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Stade Tunisien made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stade Tunisien led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for EGS Gafsa and 2.00 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien?

EGS Gafsa 1-6 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - Cup on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 37%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 35%. The final score 1-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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