Dodoma 0-1 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.4
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+18.0pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.9pp
33%
Away Win
61%
-28.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dodoma EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -89%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dodoma
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Simba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.03.2022 Simba Simba 2-0 Dodoma Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
01.10.2021 Dodoma 0-1 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Dodoma vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba nicked a narrow win over Dodoma 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Simba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Simba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dodoma and 1.50 for Simba.

What was the final score of Dodoma vs Simba?

Dodoma 0-1 Simba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dodoma vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dodoma win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Dodoma 33%, draw 33%, Simba 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →