Binh Duong 4-1 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.35/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.82
+27% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Duong
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
26.12.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 3-0 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
12.04.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-2 HT 0-2 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Duong
4-1
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Binh Duong vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Duong swept aside Cong An Nhan Dan 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Binh Duong as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Binh Duong had 45% of the ball to Cong An Nhan Dan's 55%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Binh Duong and 2.50 for Cong An Nhan Dan.

What was the final score of Binh Duong vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Binh Duong 4-1 Cong An Nhan Dan in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Duong vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Binh Duong 42%, draw 26%, Cong An Nhan Dan 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Binh Duong), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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