Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 May 2025

Ferro Carril Oeste
1-1 HT 0-1
Almagro
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒02:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Almagro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.22/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.45
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Almagro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
12.10.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
15.11.2021 Almagro Almagro 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.07.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Almagro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.33 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 42%, draw 33%, Almagro 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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