NWS Spirit 5-0 Mt Druitt Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-7.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mt Druitt Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.40
-45% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mt Druitt Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.65 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
416 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-1 HT 2-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
10.03.2023 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Mt Druitt Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit ran out comfortable winners over Mt Druitt Town 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NWS Spirit and 0.50 for Mt Druitt Town.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Mt Druitt Town?

NWS Spirit 5-0 Mt Druitt Town in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Mt Druitt Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 51%, draw 21%, Mt Druitt Town 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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