Western Knights 3-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.7pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.6pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Knights EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.48/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.38
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Knights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fremantle City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.08.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 1-4 HT 0-3 Western Knights Western Knights AVNPL
18.05.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 0-3 HT 0-1 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Knights vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Knights edged past Fremantle City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western Knights as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Western Knights and 2.00 for Fremantle City.

What was the final score of Western Knights vs Fremantle City?

Western Knights 3-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Knights vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Western Knights 48%, draw 18%, Fremantle City 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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