Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 St George Willawong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 17 May 2025

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2-3 HT 1-3
St George Willawong
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St George Willawong Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.41
No
51%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
67%
-17.7pp
51%
BTTS No
33%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v St George Willawong — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.34/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.67
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.9 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St George Willawong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George Willawong nicked a narrow win over Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Coast Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St George Willawong?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 St George Willawong in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St George Willawong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Coast Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 43%, draw 27%, St George Willawong 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Coast Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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