Aucas vs Manta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Manta — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Manta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Manta
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 1-1 Manta — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas and Manta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aucas at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aucas had 70% of the ball to Manta's 30%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.96 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aucas and 0.50 for Manta.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Manta?
Aucas 1-1 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Manta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Aucas 67%, draw 21%, Manta 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.