17/05/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Mikkeli vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
23%
Draw
24%
43%
Away Win
41%
49%
Under 2.5
36%
51%
Over 2.5
64%
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
48%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mikkeli v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mikkeli
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
KuPS Ak.
EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
-13%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
4
302 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
384 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mikkeli vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mikkeli swept aside KuPS Ak. 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was KuPS Ak. at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KuPS Ak.?
Mikkeli 3-0 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KuPS Ak.?
Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 34%, draw 23%, KuPS Ak. 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Ak.), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (KuPS Ak.)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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17 May 2025