Hubei Istar 0-4 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
60%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
21%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
60%
Away Win
54%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen ran out comfortable winners over Hubei Istar 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Hubei Istar 0-4 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hubei Istar vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hubei Istar 15%, draw 25%, Guangxi Hengchen 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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