AEgir 1-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

AEgir
1-2 HT 0-0
Vestri
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.32/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.94
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vestri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
07.02.2026 AEgir AEgir 1-2 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
02.09.2023 AEgir AEgir 0-5 HT 0-3 Vestri Vestri İZL1
02.07.2023 Vestri Vestri 1-2 HT 0-1 AEgir AEgir İZL1
18.08.2022 AEgir AEgir 4-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
11.06.2022 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 1-2 AEgir AEgir İZL1
24.09.2021 Vestri Vestri 3-3 HT 2-2 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri nicked a narrow win over AEgir 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vestri as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEgir and 2.17 for Vestri.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Vestri?

AEgir 1-2 Vestri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AEgir 28%, draw 23%, Vestri 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vestri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vestri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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