Yacoub El Mansour 1-0 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2026 Yacoub El Mansour 1-2 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
1-0
AWAY Maghreb Fes
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour nicked a narrow win over Maghreb Fes 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Yacoub El Mansour made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yacoub El Mansour had 39% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 61%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fes?

Yacoub El Mansour 1-0 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - Cup on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 38%, draw 23%, Maghreb Fes 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maghreb Fes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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