Kozarmisleny 2-1 Karcag SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.71
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +91%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozarmisleny
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karcag SE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.11.2025 Karcag SE Karcag SE 1-1 HT 0-1 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozarmisleny
2-1
AWAY Karcag SE
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kozarmisleny vs Karcag SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozarmisleny nicked a narrow win over Karcag SE 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kozarmisleny as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kozarmisleny had 61% of the ball to Karcag SE's 39%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Kozarmisleny vs Karcag SE?

Kozarmisleny 2-1 Karcag SE in the Hungary - NB II on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozarmisleny vs Karcag SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozarmisleny win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kozarmisleny 47%, draw 25%, Karcag SE 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kozarmisleny) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kozarmisleny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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