Erdi VSE 2-1 Kaposvari Rakoczi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erdi VSE EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi EU Bookmakers 59%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.64/1.51
+101% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erdi VSE
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Kaposvari Rakoczi Kaposvari Rakoczi 1-1 HT 0-1 Erdi VSE MAC3
POST-MATCH Erdi VSE vs Kaposvari Rakoczi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erdi VSE nicked a narrow win over Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kaposvari Rakoczi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Erdi VSE vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

Erdi VSE 2-1 Kaposvari Rakoczi in the Hungary - NB III on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erdi VSE vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaposvari Rakoczi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Erdi VSE 25%, draw 26%, Kaposvari Rakoczi 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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