Miedz Legnica 1-2 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.82/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.15
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 3-1 HT 2-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
10.04.2025 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-2 HT 1-2 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
22.09.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 3-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-2
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow edged past Miedz Legnica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ruch Chorzow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 57% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 43%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.33 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow?

Miedz Legnica 1-2 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 40%, draw 26%, Ruch Chorzow 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
17 May 2026
21:15 Polonia Bytom vs Slask Wroclaw Analysis →