Sarasota Paradise 1-2 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 May 2026

Sarasota Paradise
1-2 HT 0-1
Alta
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2026

Sarasota Paradise vs Alta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarasota Paradise v Alta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.43/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.71
+6% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.3 Crosses 9.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Sarasota Paradise 1-2 Alta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarasota Paradise
1-2
AWAY Alta
1.10 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
296 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarasota Paradise vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta nicked a narrow win over Sarasota Paradise 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sarasota Paradise at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarasota Paradise had 45% of the ball to Alta's 55%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.69.

What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs Alta?

Sarasota Paradise 1-2 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 51%, draw 23%, Alta 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →