New England 4-1 AC Connecticut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.5pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Connecticut EU Bookmakers 32%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-49% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Connecticut
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.06.2025 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut 0-1 HT 0-1 New England USL2
14.06.2025 New England 1-3 HT 1-2 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England
4-1
AWAY AC Connecticut
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England vs AC Connecticut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England swept aside AC Connecticut 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day New England made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, New England had 70% of the ball to AC Connecticut's 30%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England and 1.50 for AC Connecticut.

What was the final score of New England vs AC Connecticut?

New England 4-1 AC Connecticut in the USA - USL League 2 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England vs AC Connecticut?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New England 38%, draw 31%, AC Connecticut 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New England) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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