Trelleborgs FF 1-0 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.11
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
15%
5.15
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
14%
3.33
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.2 — our 12% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
4W-2D-0L
AWAY IK Brage
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.06.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
18.09.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 1-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
30.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
11.09.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
24.07.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF squeezed past IK Brage 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Trelleborgs FF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 0.83 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage?

Trelleborgs FF 1-0 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 34%, draw 31%, IK Brage 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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