Tobacco Road 2-2 Charlotte Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.89
Over 2.5
49%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.0pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
31%
+19.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
69%
-20.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.4pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Eagles EU Bookmakers 72%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.11/3.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.59
+70% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -34%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Charlotte Eagles
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
18.05.2024 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles 4-0 HT 3-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
13.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles USL2
25.05.2023 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles 4-0 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
17.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 2-3 HT 2-1 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobacco Road and Charlotte Eagles shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Charlotte Eagles at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Charlotte Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tobacco Road and 3.00 for Charlotte Eagles.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles?

Tobacco Road 2-2 Charlotte Eagles in the USA - USL League 2 on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 24%, draw 18%, Charlotte Eagles 58%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte Eagles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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