Chapecoense vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense 2-1 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense squeezed past Ferroviaria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 37% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 63%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.84 to 0.82.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Ferroviaria?
Chapecoense 2-1 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Ferroviaria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 42%, draw 31%, Ferroviaria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.