Fortaleza 0-3 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Jun 2026

Fortaleza
0-3 HT 0-2
America Mineiro
📅17/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Fortaleza vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.43/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.39
+58% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.2 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fortaleza vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
5W-0D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.10.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-2 HT 1-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
01.09.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro CON CSA
25.08.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-3 HT 0-3 Fortaleza Fortaleza CON CSA
21.05.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
16.10.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
20.06.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1

Fortaleza 0-3 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
0-3
AWAY America Mineiro
1.77 xG 2.60
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 0
547 Passes 271
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro cruised past Fortaleza 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Fortaleza carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fortaleza had 65% of the ball to America Mineiro's 35%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.77 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fortaleza and 1.17 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs America Mineiro?

Fortaleza 0-3 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 58%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 20%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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