Houston FC 3-3 Brazos Valley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 17 Jul 2024

Houston FC
3-3 HT 2-2
Brazos Valley
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Houston FC vs Brazos Valley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston FC v Brazos Valley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brazos Valley EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-2% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Houston FC vs Brazos Valley Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Brazos Valley
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
14.07.2023 Brazos Valley Brazos Valley 4-1 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
09.07.2023 Houston FC Houston FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Brazos Valley Brazos Valley USL2
18.06.2023 Brazos Valley Brazos Valley 2-0 Houston FC Houston FC USL2
POST-MATCH Houston FC vs Brazos Valley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston FC and Brazos Valley couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Brazos Valley at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brazos Valley led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Houston FC and 2.00 for Brazos Valley.

What was the final score of Houston FC vs Brazos Valley?

Houston FC 3-3 Brazos Valley in the USA - USL League 2 on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston FC vs Brazos Valley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brazos Valley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Houston FC 28%, draw 28%, Brazos Valley 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brazos Valley), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brazos Valley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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