St. Louis 3-2 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2026

St. Louis
3-2 HT 2-1
Sporting Kansas City
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

St. Louis vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
+0.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Louis v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
– Crosses 14.9
– Yellow Cards 2.1

St. Louis 3-2 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
3-2
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
2.40 xG 1.02
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
416 Passes 338
31 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ St. Louis vs Sporting Kansas City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Louis edged past Sporting Kansas City 3-2 in the USA - Major League on 17 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.40 to 1.02.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs Sporting Kansas City?

St. Louis 3-2 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 64%, draw 19%, Sporting Kansas City 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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