FC Nordsjaelland 5-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.68/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.33
-49% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
5-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland cruised past Sparta Prag 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Sparta Prag?

FC Nordsjaelland 5-1 Sparta Prag in the Friendlies on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 27%, draw 24%, Sparta Prag 49%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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