Al Sareeh 5-1 Aqaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+9.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sareeh EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aqaba EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.23/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.15
-15% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sareeh
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Aqaba
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2022 Aqaba Aqaba 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Sareeh Al Sareeh ÜRD
07.07.2022 Al Sareeh Al Sareeh 0-1 HT 0-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
11.12.2020 Aqaba Aqaba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Sareeh Al Sareeh ÜRD
10.09.2020 Al Sareeh Al Sareeh 1-0 HT 0-0 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sareeh
5-1
AWAY Aqaba
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Sareeh vs Aqaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sareeh ran out comfortable winners over Aqaba 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Al Sareeh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Sareeh had 54% of the ball to Aqaba's 46%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Sareeh had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Sareeh and 0.25 for Aqaba.

What was the final score of Al Sareeh vs Aqaba?

Al Sareeh 5-1 Aqaba in the Jordan - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sareeh vs Aqaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sareeh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Sareeh 38%, draw 24%, Aqaba 38%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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