Breitenrain 1-0 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.66/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.25
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breitenrain
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 1-0 Breitenrain İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breitenrain
1-0
AWAY Lugano II
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Breitenrain vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breitenrain nicked a narrow win over Lugano II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breitenrain as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Breitenrain had 47% of the ball to Lugano II's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Breitenrain vs Lugano II?

Breitenrain 1-0 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breitenrain vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breitenrain win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Breitenrain 50%, draw 26%, Lugano II 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breitenrain), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breitenrain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
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