Haukar 3-1 KFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

Haukar
3-1 HT 1-1
KFA
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haukar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KFA EU Bookmakers 39%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.38/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-23% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haukar
0W-0D-2L
AWAY KFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Haukar Haukar 0-2 HT 0-1 KFA KFA İZL2
25.06.2023 KFA KFA 3-2 HT 0-0 Haukar Haukar İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haukar
3-1
AWAY KFA
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haukar vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haukar beat KFA 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KFA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Haukar had 50% of the ball to KFA's 50%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KFA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haukar and 2.50 for KFA.

What was the final score of Haukar vs KFA?

Haukar 3-1 KFA in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haukar vs KFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haukar 35%, draw 23%, KFA 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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