FSV Frankfurt 2-1 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.88/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.67
+28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
1W-2D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-3 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 0-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 5-0 HT 3-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FSV Frankfurt
2-1
AWAY SGV Freiberg
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt edged past SGV Freiberg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day FSV Frankfurt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FSV Frankfurt had 47% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 1.25 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg?

FSV Frankfurt 2-1 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 38%, draw 27%, SGV Freiberg 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) ✗ Under 2.5
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