Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
2.19/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-3 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 1-3 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
04.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-3 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
02.02.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 0-3 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II squeezed past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mönchengladbach II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach II and 1.17 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach II 48%, draw 24%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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