Niva Dolbizno 1-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
4.05/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.41
+70% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Orsha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
25.11.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 3-1 HT 2-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
06.08.2023 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 1-1 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno and Orsha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Niva Dolbizno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Niva Dolbizno had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Niva Dolbizno and 1.00 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha?

Niva Dolbizno 1-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 48%, draw 22%, Orsha 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niva Dolbizno), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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