EPS 3-0 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 17 Aug 2024

EPS
3-0 HT 2-0
KuPS Ak.
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
FİN3 – 2024

EPS vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.33
Over 2.5
43%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
8%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 33% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
39%
+18.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
61%
-18.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EPS v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

EPS vs KuPS Ak. Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
The Meetings
02.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-1 HT 2-0 EPS EPS FİN2

EPS 3-0 KuPS Ak. — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
3-0
AWAY KuPS Ak.
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH EPS vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS swept aside KuPS Ak. 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had EPS as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EPS had 37% of the ball to KuPS Ak.'s 63%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of EPS vs KuPS Ak.?

EPS 3-0 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split EPS 51%, draw 31%, KuPS Ak. 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EPS), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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