HNK Cibalia 2-0 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
186 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rudes
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
29.04.2018 Rudes Rudes 3-2 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
14.03.2018 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
29.10.2017 Rudes Rudes 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
13.08.2017 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
2-0
AWAY Rudes
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia got the better of Rudes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rudes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 42% of the ball to Rudes's 58%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.25 for Rudes.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Rudes?

HNK Cibalia 2-0 Rudes in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 31%, draw 28%, Rudes 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rudes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rudes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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