Newry City AFC 3-3 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
40%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
26%
+14.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC and Limavady United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Limavady United?

Newry City AFC 3-3 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 39%, draw 21%, Limavady United 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Limavady United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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