Kazma 4-3 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.63
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
02.02.2024 Kazma Kazma 4-4 HT 1-3 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVEK
04.01.2024 Kazma Kazma 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
05.10.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-2 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
24.05.2023 Kazma Kazma 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
17.04.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
15.03.2023 Kazma Kazma 0-5 HT 0-2 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazma
4-3
AWAY Al Salmiyah
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kazma vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazma squeezed past Al Salmiyah 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kazma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kazma had 38% of the ball to Al Salmiyah's 62%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kazma and 1.83 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Kazma vs Al Salmiyah?

Kazma 4-3 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazma vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kazma 44%, draw 22%, Al Salmiyah 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kazma), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kazma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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