Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 32% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.5pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.82/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.96
+6% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
14.9 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zamalek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.67 xG 0.42
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
153 Passes 371
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2-2
AWAY Zamalek
1.81 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
266 Passes 443
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and Zamalek shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 40% of the ball to Zamalek's 60%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 1.81 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Zamalek?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 32%, draw 28%, Zamalek 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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