Torpedo Moscow 2-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:24 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.50/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.92
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
21.08.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
10.04.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
29.09.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
11.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
17.10.2020 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 4-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Neftekhimik 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 54% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik?

Torpedo Moscow 2-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 46%, draw 29%, Neftekhimik 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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