Podbrezova 7-1 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.59/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.27
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
15.8 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Skalica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 Skalica Skalica 3-0 HT 2-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
15.09.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
29.10.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-2 HT 0-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
12.08.2022 Skalica Skalica 1-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
05.03.2022 Skalica Skalica 0-2 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK2
13.08.2021 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-3 HT 1-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
7-1
AWAY Skalica
3.74 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
284 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbrezova swept aside Skalica 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Podbrezova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Podbrezova had 48% of the ball to Skalica's 52%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 3.74 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skalica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Podbrezova and 1.50 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Skalica?

Podbrezova 7-1 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 45%, draw 25%, Skalica 30%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Podbrezova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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