Prachuap 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.30/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.76
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
15.9 Crosses 10.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.38 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 246
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.11.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-1 HT 1-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
13.11.2021 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
4-0
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
2.62 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
382 Passes 141
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap swept aside Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 61% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 39%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.62 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nong Bua Pitchaya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Prachuap and 2.00 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Prachuap 4-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 45%, draw 31%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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