Paksi SE II 1-0 Penzügyör — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 17 Aug 2025

Paksi SE II
1-0 HT 1-0
Penzügyör
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB III – 2025/2026

Paksi SE II vs Penzügyör Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE II v Penzügyör — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Penzügyör EU Bookmakers 32%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
5.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/3.65
+150% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Paksi SE II vs Penzügyör
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE II nicked a narrow win over Penzügyör 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paksi SE II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Paksi SE II vs Penzügyör?

Paksi SE II 1-0 Penzügyör in the Hungary - NB III on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE II vs Penzügyör?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE II 48%, draw 21%, Penzügyör 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC3 More Hungary - NB III
17 Aug 2025
12:00 Disgyor II vs Cigand SE Analysis →
12:00 Debrecen II vs Tiszafuredi VSE Analysis →
12:00 Ujpest II vs Gyirmot Analysis →
12:00 Szeged-Csanad II vs ESMTK Analysis →
12:00 Vasas II vs BKV Elore Analysis →
12:00 Puskas FC II vs Balatonfüredi Analysis →