Milsami 4-1 Politeh Chişinau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-7.3pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.4pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/4.02
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -39%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.06.2025 Politeh Chişinau 0-3 HT 0-2 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
4-1
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Politeh Chişinau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami cruised past Politeh Chişinau 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Milsami had 61% of the ball to Politeh Chişinau's 39%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Politeh Chişinau?

Milsami 4-1 Politeh Chişinau in the Moldova - National League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Politeh Chişinau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Milsami 68%, draw 20%, Politeh Chişinau 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
17 Aug 2025
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