Independiente 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.21
Over
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ The Market 29%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.16/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.72
-44% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.0 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0.87 xG 1.01
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
298 Passes 358
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente squeezed past Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.87 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Independiente 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Independiente 45%, draw 27%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ BTTS Yes
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