San Pedro 2-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
11%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
San Pedro win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
69%
Home Win
56%
+12.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
11%
Away Win
19%
-7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Pedro The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora The Market 22%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.90
+82% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
POST-MATCH San Pedro vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Pedro squeezed past Aurora 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Pedro as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Pedro vs Aurora?

San Pedro 2-1 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Pedro vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Pedro win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split San Pedro 69%, draw 20%, Aurora 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Pedro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Pedro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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