17/08/2026
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Varhaug vs Stabaek II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
34%
4-5
30%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
56%
25%
Draw
21%
34%
Away Win
23%
57%
BTTS Yes
74%
43%
BTTS No
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varhaug v Stabaek II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Varhaug
The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stabaek II
The Market 27%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+18% /
+18%
2.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.18/1.97
-21%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+28%
/
+20%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
336 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.4
Varhaug vs Stabaek II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Varhaug
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Stabaek II
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
17
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Varhaug vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Varhaug saw off Stabaek II 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Varhaug as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Varhaug vs Stabaek II?
Varhaug 2-0 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varhaug vs Stabaek II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varhaug win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Varhaug 42%, draw 25%, Stabaek II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varhaug) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Varhaug)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
17 Aug 2026