Arka Gdynia 3-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.95
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.68
6+
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arka Gdynia win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
46%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice The Market 29%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.47/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
02.10.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 HT 2-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
10.04.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-3 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
25.09.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
07.03.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
02.03.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-5 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
3-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia cruised past Puszcza Niepolomice 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.83 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Arka Gdynia 3-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 55%, draw 23%, Puszcza Niepolomice 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ BTTS No
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